With a mild recovery of the global economy, the world merchandise trade grew with fluctuations in the first half of 2013． From January to June, the global trade in goods expanded steadily, though with different degrees of growth every month． Due to the improvement of global economy, the world trade in the second half year will be better than the first half of the year． Bilateral and regional economic cooperation are deepened, which will stimulate the development of the intra-regional trade to some extent． We estimate that the global trade growth rate will be around 2． 5 ~ 2． 8% in 2013． In view of the improving world economic situation, global trade will grow steadily in 2014 and the growth rate may be higher than 4% ． Going beyond the framework of the Doha round, WTO continues to make new explorations and efforts for the improvement of the multilateral trade system． At the same time, FTA is still favored, TPP and TTIP negotiations have made progress to some degree, but still face quite a few difficulties． Once an agreement is reached, the international trade rules may be reshaped． <<