The international financial market continued to be turbulent in
2013. The continuing conventional and unconventional monetary easing in
developed economies, the Fed’s uncertain attitude towards its QE tapering, the
unstable global economic recovery, and the clear sign of slowdown in the emerging
economies have become the major risks in the international financial market.
Investors’ risk preference became more yield-seeking than that in 2012, which is in
line with the prediction of last year’s report. Yield curves of major government bonds
rebounded in a narrow channel. Most equity markets of developed countries gained,
while emerging markets suffered losses for the most time of the year. In the foreign
exchange market, the US dollar appreciated against the Japanese yen and the most
emerging economies’ currencies. Going forward, the possible QE exit remains a key
factor for market sentiments. Whether the real economic recovery can sustain will be another major driver for international capital flows and the movement in the global
financial market.
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